It is well known that the human and financial costs related to sick leave d
ue to Low-Back Pain (LBP) are substantial in a small percentage of workers.
A better understanding of the predictive factors for chronic disability wo
uld allow interventions to be adapted and costs to be reduced. This paper i
s a critical review of recent prospective studies on the biopsychosocial fa
ctors predictive of nonreturn to work due to LBP. A sample of 18 prospectiv
e studies were systematically analyzed. Despite the limited number of prosp
ective studies and their differences, some factors are promising indicators
, These include a previous history of LBP results of certain clinical rests
, a subjective negative appraisal of one's ability to work, and job dissati
sfaction. The role of certain psychological variables, including attitudes
and beliefs, as well as coping strategies, is also emerging. Additional stu
dies are necessary to confirm the importance of these factors, to specify t
he nature of the interrelationships among them, and to integrate them into
a conceptual framework.