We used stochastic modeling and computer simulation to study the replicatio
n, apoptosis, and differentiation of murine hemopoietic stem cells (HSCs) i
n vivo, This approach allows description of the behavior of an unobserved p
opulation tie, HSCs) on the basis of the behavior of observed progeny cells
tie, granulocytes and lymphocytes). The results of previous limiting-dilut
ion, competitive-repopulation studies in 44 mice were compared with the res
ults of simulated transplantation studies to identify parameters that led t
o comparable outcomes. Using this approach, we estimated that murine HSCs r
eplicate ton average) once every 2.5 weeks and that the frequency of murine
HSCs is 8 per 10(5) nucleated marrow cells. If it is assumed that short-te
rm repopulating cells are distinct from HSCs, that they contribute to hemop
oiesis early after transplantation, and that they are independently regulat
ed, a frequency of 4 HSCs per 105 nucleated marrow cells also allows simula
tions that best approximate the observed data. When stochastic modeling and
computer simulation were applied to limiting-dilution, autologous-transpla
ntation studies in cats heterozygous for glucose-6-phosphate-dehydrogenase,
different estimates of HSC replication rate (1 per 8.3-10 weeks) and frequ
ency (6 per 10(7) cells) were derived. Therefore, it appears that these par
ameters vary inversely with increased longevity, size, or both. An implicat
ion of these data is that human HSCs may be less frequent and replicate mor
e slowly. These findings on cell kinetics have several implications. (C) 20
00 by The American Society of Hematology.