In this article, several salient measures for determining reliable change a
re scrutinized. The classic null hypothesis method is compared with more re
cent procedures based on interval estimation of the true change, including
Kelley's formula. The latter category of methods are shown to entail seriou
s drawbacks. If Kelley's formula is expanded to a null hypothesis method (i
ncluding a correct treatment of the stochastic character of the sample info
rmation), the classic method reveals itself as a large sample approximation
. We conclude that the classic method is undeservedly regarded inferior by
the authors who proposed new indices.