Is background seismicity produced at a stationary poissonian rate?

Authors
Citation
M. Wyss et Y. Toya, Is background seismicity produced at a stationary poissonian rate?, B SEIS S AM, 90(5), 2000, pp. 1174-1187
Citations number
30
Categorie Soggetti
Earth Sciences
Journal title
BULLETIN OF THE SEISMOLOGICAL SOCIETY OF AMERICA
ISSN journal
00371106 → ACNP
Volume
90
Issue
5
Year of publication
2000
Pages
1174 - 1187
Database
ISI
SICI code
0037-1106(200010)90:5<1174:IBSPAA>2.0.ZU;2-S
Abstract
We tested the hypothesis that, on the scale of a decade, earthquakes deeper than 60 km are produced at an approximately constant, that is, stationary Poissonian rate. We selected earthquakes with depths greater than 60 km to avoid the ubiquitous clusters present in shallow seismicity, without declus tering the data set. Six of the 90 randomly positioned volumes contained ob vious aftershock sequences and, thus, were excluded from the scoring. We sh owed that magnitude shifts of 0.2 to 0.4 units are present in some catalogs . Since we measure the seismicity rate above a minimum magnitude, these shi fts introduce artificial fluctuations in the rate. Therefore, we modeled th e influence of the magnitude shifts on the test. Measuring the goodness of fit to a stationary Poisson process model by the chi (2)-test for samples o f 500 earthquakes each, we found that the hypothesis cannot be rejected at the 95% confidence levels based on the data in the 84 volumes without obvio us aftershock sequences. We propose that this constancy of production rate is due to the effect of a constant loading rate by tectonic plate motion on an asperity assembly with a uniform distribution of current loading stress . Although this result cannot be obtained for shallow seismicity because of the presence of numerous clusters, it seems reasonable to assume that the shallow background seismicity is also produced at a stationary Poissonian r ate.