Pem. Fine et al., HOUSEHOLD AND DWELLING CONTACT AS RISK-FACTORS FOR LEPROSY IN NORTHERN MALAWI, American journal of epidemiology, 146(1), 1997, pp. 91-102
Data on household and dwelling contact with known leprosy cases were a
vailable on more than 80,000 initially disease-free individuals follow
ed up during the 1980s in a rural district of northern Malawi. A total
of 331 new cases of leprosy were diagnosed among them, Individuals re
corded as living in household or dwelling contact with multibacillary
patients at the start of follow-up were at approximately five- to eigh
tfold increased risk of leprosy, respectively, compared with individua
ls not living in such households or dwellings. Individuals living in h
ousehold or dwelling contact with paucibacillary cases were both at ap
proximately twofold increased risk. The higher risk associated with mu
ltibacillary contact and the fact that dwelling contact entailed a gre
ater risk than household contact if the association was with multibaci
llary, but not with paucibacillary, disease suggest that paucibacillar
y cases may not themselves be sources of transmission, but rather just
markers that a household has had contact with some (outside) source o
f infection. When household contact was considered alone, the risks of
disease were appreciably higher for younger than for older contacts a
nd for male compared with female contacts. Despite the elevated risk o
f leprosy associated with household or dwelling contact, only 15% of a
ll incidence cases arose among recognized household contacts. Given th
e dynamic nature of household membership and consequent misclassificat
ion of contact status, the true contribution to overall incidence of c
ontact within household or dwelling settings is likely to be much high
er than this, perhaps 30% or higher, Considering the predilection of m
ales for infectious multibacillary forms of the disease, the transmiss
ion of Mycobacterium leprae at an early age, in particular to males, m
ay be of particular importance for the persistence of leprosy in endem
ic communities. Although residential contact with a multibacillary cas
e is the strongest known determinant of leprosy risk, the vast majorit
y of such contacts never manifest disease, which indicates a crucial r
ole for genetic and/or environmental factors in the transmission of M.
leprae infection and/or the pathogenesis of clinical leprosy.