Mathematical models of the transmission and control of sexually transmitted diseases

Citation
Rm. Anderson et Gp. Garnett, Mathematical models of the transmission and control of sexually transmitted diseases, SEX TRA DIS, 27(10), 2000, pp. 636-643
Citations number
52
Categorie Soggetti
Clinical Immunolgy & Infectious Disease","da verificare
Journal title
SEXUALLY TRANSMITTED DISEASES
ISSN journal
01485717 → ACNP
Volume
27
Issue
10
Year of publication
2000
Pages
636 - 643
Database
ISI
SICI code
0148-5717(200011)27:10<636:MMOTTA>2.0.ZU;2-E
Abstract
Background: The development of mathematical models to describe and interpre t the epidemiology of sexually transmitted infections has involved the incr emental addition of various forms of biological and behavioral complexity t o simple mathematical templates. Goal: To review simple and complex models used in study of observed epidemi ologic pattern. Study Design: An overview of modeling in sexually transmitted disease epide miology identifies the function of different types of models. Results: Simple models have the advantage of transparency and analytical tr actability and can illustrate the relative merits of different intervention options. However, real life is replete with complexities that can have eff ects that are difficult to predict in the absence of a mathematical framewo rk. Conclusions: Research should increasingly be based on robust parameterizati on of model structures and try to capture individual behaviors. Progress wi ll be most rapid by interdisciplinary work where the clinician, epidemiolog ist, and mathematician work collaboratively to help improve our knowledge o f how to best control infection and disease.