Two-dimensional finite element numerical modelling is applied to study the
deformation and failure of the overriding plate during are-continent collis
ion (continental margin subduction). This plate has elasto-plastic rheology
with strain weakening and contains a 'volcanic arc' with thinned and weake
ned lithosphere. The overriding plate deforms due to the normal and tangent
ial stresses applied along the interplate surface. These boundary condition
s represent the friction and pressure between the plates. The latter is due
to the flexural rigidity of the subducting lithosphere and the buoyancy fo
rce generated by the subducting continental crust. The modelling shows that
continental margin subduction results in increasing compression and failur
e of the overriding plate, which occurs along the surface dipping under the
are in either of two possible directions. The failure mode is largely cont
rolled by the two competitive factors: the rigidity of the subducting plate
and thickness gradient of the subducted continental crust. A high rigidity
favors failure along an ocean-vergent fault, which is followed by a subduc
tion reversal, while a high thickness gradient favors failure in the opposi
te direction, which is followed by a fore-are block underthrusting beneath
the are. Both scenarios seem to have natural analogs. We consider one of th
em, the ongoing are-continent collision in Taiwan, and argue that this proc
ess occurs according to the second scenario corresponding to the fore are u
nderthrusting. Wavelet statistical analysis of the seismicity distribution
to the south of Taiwan has clearly displayed a shallow (0-40 km) zone of hi
gh density, coherently distributed seismicity beneath the Luzon Are. This z
one, interpreted as a lithospheric-scale fault, dips from the forearc basin
to the east and corresponds to the initiation of the forearc block subduct
ion. A self-consistent, combined mechanical-gravity-topography model is use
d to see whether failure of the overriding plate to the south of Taiwan can
be 'captured' by this model. By 'tuning' different controlling parameters,
we did not succeed in obtaining realistic topography and gravity held in a
model where failure of the overriding plate was not allowed. Introduction
of this failure and underthrusting of the forearc block under the Luzon Are
allowed us to fit both topography and gravity data. (C) 2000 Elsevier Scie
nce B.V. All rights reserved.