John Leslie presents a thought experiment to show that chances are sometime
s observer-relative in a paradoxical way. The pivotal assumption in his arg
ument - a version of the weak anthropic principle - is the same as the one
used to get the disturbing Doomsday argument off the ground. I show that Le
slies thought experiment trades on the sense/reference ambiguity and is fal
lacious. I then describe a related case where chances are observer-relative
in an interesting way. But not in a paradoxical way. The result can be gen
eralized: At least for a very wide range of cases, the weak anthropic princ
iple does not give rise to paradoxical observer-relative chances. This find
ing could be taken to give new indirect support to the doomsday argument.