A three-dimensional finite Element modal was constructed to investigate the
significance of poroelastic coupling between the 1992 Landers and Big Bear
earthquakes in southern California. The homogeneous poroelastic model pred
icted a maximum increase in left lateral slip potential (change in shear st
ress less the change in effective fault normal stress scaled by a coefficie
nt of friction) along the southwest part of the Big Bear fault, consistent
with the epicentral location. In contrast, slip potential calculated for a
weak fault zone in a state of isotropic stress for drained conditions, indi
cated a maximum increase along the northeast part of the Big Bear fault.