The decrease of Arctic sea ice volume is investigated using a dynamic-therm
odynamic sea ice model. The model was forced with NCEP/NCAR reanalysis wind
s and surface air temperatures in a hindcast simulation of the period 1958-
1998. The simulation reveals pronounced decadal variability (10-12 years) a
long with a significant linear negative trend of total Arctic sea ice volum
e which amounts to -4%/decade, The decrease is apparent throughout the annu
al cycle with largest amplitudes from September to December. Regionally the
strongest thinning of ice thickness occurs in the East Siberian Sea with m
agnitudes up to -30cm/decade. The simulation also reveals some positive tre
nds in the? Baffin Bay/Labrador Sea and north of the Canadian Archipelago.