In this article, a mathematical model is formulated to predict the evolutio
n and final geometry of an axisymmetric billet (i. e., round) obtained usin
g an off-axis spray arrangement. The model is formulated by calculating the
shape change of a profile curve of a billet surface, based on an axisymmet
ric surface. On the basis of this model, a methodology to determine the "sh
adowing effect" coefficient is presented. The modeling results suggest that
there are three distinct regions in a spray-formed billet: a base transiti
on region, a uniform diameter region, and an upper transition region. The e
ffects of several important processing parameters, such as the withdrawal v
elocity of substrate, maximum deposition rate, spray distribution coefficie
nt, initial eccentric distance, and rotational velocity of substrate, on th
e shape factors (e.g., the diameter size of the uniform region and the geom
etry of the transition regions) are investigated. The mechanisms responsibl
e for the formation of the three distinct regions are discussed. Finally, t
he model is then implemented and a methodology is formulated to establish o
ptimal processing parameters during spray forming, paying particular attent
ion to deposition efficiency.