The association of the Graves disease (GD) with HLA DR3 and DQA1*0501 in Ca
ucasians has been described previously. From these studies it could not be
determined whether one specific locus was primarily involved, Using a case-
control study design, we have examined the role of HLA class II gene polymo
rphisms in the predisposition for GD in a group of Belgian subjects. We dem
onstrated that both DRB1*0301 and DQA1*0501 alleles conferred significant s
usceptibility in the DRB1*0301-D&A1*0501 haplotype,The DRB1*0301 allele was
the primary susceptibility allele for GD, however, because the susceptibil
ity provided by D&A1*0501 was most likely due to it being in linkage disequ
ilibrium with DRB1*0301. The DRB1*0701/x and DQA1*0201/x genotypes and the
DRB1*0701-DQA1*0201 haplotype provided protection with an equal. RR of 0.29
, Predictive value calculations showed that testing for DRB1*0301 gave the
highest positive predictive Value for GD in females and males. This was, ho
wever, 10 times higher in females and predicted a 3.63% risk for a random f
emale to develop GD, (C) 2000 Wiley-Liss, Inc.