I model the forward premium in the U.K. gilt-edged market over the per
iod 1982-96 using a two-factor general equilibrium model of the term s
tructure of interest rates. The model permits the decomposition of the
forward premium into separate components representing interest rate e
xpectations, the risk premia associated with each of the underlying fa
ctors, and terms capturing the direct impact of the variances of the f
actors on the shape of the forward curve.