Objective: To describe the effect of influenza vaccination on long-term cha
nge in CD4 count and HIV RNA level, and on progression to AIDS or death.
Design and setting: A longitudinal medical record review set in 113 medical
clinics in 10 United States cities.
Patients: A total of 36 050 HIV-infected persons aged greater than or equal
to 13 years in care for HIV infection.
Main outcome measures: Change in CD4 count and HIV RNA level at follow-up (
3-12 months after vaccination); hazard ratios (HR) for association of influ
enza vaccine with progression from baseline CD4 or HIV RNA level to AIDS an
d to death.
Results: The median CD4 count among all persons decreased 28 cells/year dur
ing follow-up, with no difference in change in CD4 count between the 8007 (
40%) vaccinated (median = 6 months, vaccine to follow-up CD4 count) and the
11 794 unvaccinated persons. In a viral load subanalysis, median HIV RNA l
evel decreased 90 copies/ml per year among all persons during follow-up; de
creases were not different between vaccinated and unvaccinated persons. (me
dian = 7 months, vaccine to follow-up HIV RNA level determination). Influen
za vaccination was weakly associated with decreased risk of progression to
clinical AIDS [HR 0.93; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.87-0.99], but not a
ssociated with time to death (HR, 0.97; CI, 0.93-1.01).
Conclusions: No negative long-term effect of influenza vaccination on CD4 c
ounts, HIV RNA levels, or progression to AIDS or death was found in this HI
V-infected population. These data suggest that physicians should not withho
ld influenza vaccine because of concerns about long-term detrimental effect
s of increased viral replication. (C) 2000 Lippincott Williams & Wilkins.