The Met. Office has developed a Variational assimilation for its Unified Mo
del forecast system, which contains a grid-point model that is run operatio
nally in global, mesoscale, and stratospheric configurations. Key character
istics of the design are:
a development path from three-dimensional to four-dimensional variational a
ssimilation;
global and limited-area configurations;
variational analysis of perturbations;
and a carefully designed, well conditioned background term.
The background term is implemented using a sequence of Variable transforms
to independent balanced and unbalanced variables, to vertical modes, and to
spectral coefficients. The coefficients used are based on statistics from
differences of one- and two-day forecasts valid at the same time. The covar
iance model represents many of the features seen in the covariances of fore
cast differences.
The three-dimensional Variational data assimilation (3D-Var) system was imp
lemented in the operational global forecast system on 29 March 1999. In par
allel trials, the 3D-Var system gave a 2.7% improvement in a composite skil
l score (verified against observations and weighted according to the import
ance of each field).