An empirical study on estimators for linear regression analyses in fisheries and ecology

Linear regression analysis is often used in fisheries and ecological studie s. Parameters in a linear model are estimated by fitting the model to obser ved fisheries data with assumptions made concerning model error structure. The commonly used estimation method in fisheries and ecology is ordinary le ast squares (LS) which is based on the Gauss-Markov assumption on the model error. Data observed in fisheries studies are often contaminated by variou s errors. Outliers frequently arise when fitting models to the data. The mo del error structure is difficult to define with confidence in fisheries and ecological studies. It is thus necessary to evaluate the robustness of an estimator to assumptions on the model error structure. In this study, we ev aluate five estimators, least squares (LS), geometric means (GM), least med ian of squares (LMS), LMS-based reweighted least squares (RLS), and LMS-bas ed reweighted geometric means (RGM), in fitting linear models with assumpti ons of different model error structures. We show that the selection of a su itable estimator for a regression analysis depends upon the error structure s of the dependent and independent variables. However, overall the LMS-base d RGM method tends to be more robust than other estimators to the assumed e rror structures. We suggest a three-step procedure in analyzing fisheries a nd ecological data using linear regression analysis: identify outliers by a LMS analysis, evaluate the identified outliers based on background informa tion about the study, and then apply the LMS-based GM where appropriate. Th e method used in step 3 can be changed if the error structures of observed data are known. (C) 2000 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved.