We analyzed the possible controls on the distribution of surge-type glacier
s in Svalbard using multivariate logit models including 504 glaciers and a
large number of glacial and geological attributes. Specifically we examined
the potential effect of geological boundaries, mass-balance conditions and
thermal regime on surging. It was found that long glaciers with relatively
steep slopes overlying young fine-grained sedimentary lithologies with ori
entations in a broad are clockwise from northwest to southeast are most lik
ely to be of surge type. No relation between lithological boundaries and su
rge potential could be established. Possible explanations for length being
conducive to surging are transport-distance-related substrate properties, d
istance-related attenuation of longitudinal stresses and the possible relat
ion between thermal regime and glacier size. Analysis of glaciers with reco
rded radio-echo sounding reveals that a polythermal regime, accumulation-ar
ea ratios close to balance and a large elevation span increase the surge po
tential. The logit models also enabled us to detect 19 new surge-type glaci
ers, to reclassify six glaciers as normal and to identify unusual surge-typ
e glaciers. Our model results suggest that a polythermal regime and fine-gr
ained potentially deformable beds are conducive to the surge potential of S
valbard glaciers.