PURPOSE: To estimate the annual incidence, cumulative probability of presum
ed urinary tract infection (UTI) by age, and the social costs.
METHODS: Analysis of a random digit dialing survey of 2000 women in the Uni
ted States.
RESULTS: 10.8 percent (95% CI: 9.4, 12.1%) of women aged 18 and older repor
ted at least one presumed UTI during the past 12 months, with the majority
of the cases occurring among women with a history of two or more UTI episod
es in their life. We estimate that by age 24, one third of women will have
at least one physician-diagnosed UTI that was treated with prescription med
ication. Overall, an estimated 11.3 million women in the United States had
at least one presumed UTI treated with antibiotics in 1995. We estimate the
annual cost of UTI cases with prescriptions to be $1.6 billion in 1995. If
the costs occurring after 1995 are discounted at 5% annually, the total co
st over 20 years has a present value of $25.5 billion.
CONCLUSION: If a vaccine were developed that would prevent either initial o
r recurrent UTI the net benefits to society would be substantial, even at a
developmental cost of one billion dollars. (C) 2000 Elsevier Science Inc.
All rights reserved.