Objective: To review the literature on neurocognitive measures as risk mark
ers for schizophrenia and to present data from the Perth family study of sc
hizophrenia. Of ail the risk markers that have been identified, the most pr
omising are deficits in sustained attention.
Method: Inclusion in the review was determined by whether the research addr
essed a number of key questions: methods of assessing sustained attention;
evidence of sustained attention deficits in patients and first-degree relat
ives including children; the importance of attentional dysfunction in the s
chizophrenic process and functional outcome; and the biological basis of su
stained attention deficits.
Results: Sustained attention deficits are evident in both patients and a pr
oportion of their first-degree relatives, a finding replicated in prelimina
ry data from the Perth family study. The literature suggests that the atten
tion deficit is a stable enduring trait that is independent of clinical sta
te. The neural basis of the deficit may be a functional disconnection betwe
en prefrontal and parietal cortex. Attention impairment is an important pre
dictor of functional outcome in patients and the development of social dysf
unction in adulthood in the at-risk offspring of patients. However, sustain
ed attention deficits that are measured in childhood results in an unaccept
able high false-positive rate (21%) when predicting which at-risk offspring
of parents with schizophrenia will develop a schizophrenia spectrum disord
er, although the overall classification accuracy (78%) is impressive.
Conclusions: The main findings are that sustained attention deficits are im
portant risk markers for schizophrenia but need to be supplemented by other
neurocognitive risk markers to improve predictive accuracy.