The dynamic interaction of rational fundamentalists and trend chasing chartists in a monetary economy

Citation
C. Chiarella et A. Khomin, The dynamic interaction of rational fundamentalists and trend chasing chartists in a monetary economy, LECT N ECON, 484, 2000, pp. 151-165
Citations number
21
Categorie Soggetti
Current Book Contents
ISSN journal
00758442
Volume
484
Year of publication
2000
Pages
151 - 165
Database
ISI
SICI code
0075-8442(2000)484:<151:TDIORF>2.0.ZU;2-E
Abstract
In a basic model of monetary dynamics we allow inflationary expectations to be formed as a weighted average of fundamentalist and chartists expectatio ns. The fundamentalists form inflationary expectations rationally in the tr aditional sense in that they have full knowledge of the economic environmen t. The chartists form expectations by using standard trend chasing expectat ions schemes. As inflation accelerates/deccelerates an increasing proportio n of agents switch from chartism to fundamentalism and fundamentalists put increasing weight on a reversion towards the fundamental value. The study t he dynamics of the resulting economic system and show that it can exhibit a range of complex dynamic behaviour.