The rough sets method is used for extracting both certain and possible rule
s from data. This paper shows that, in reality, there are no certain rules.
Probability theory is used to determine the best distribution to use when
evaluating the strength of rules. A method of determining the confidence li
mits for rules is presented, and this is used to determine what rule to fol
low when conflicts occur. Finally, a way to apply these results to situatio
ns where the cost of wrong decisions is different from the rewards for corr
ect decisions is discussed.