Cd. Storlazzi et al., Comparative impacts of the 1982-83 and 1997-98 El Nino winters on the central California coast, J COAST RES, 16(4), 2000, pp. 1022-1036
Although most indices suggest the 1997-98 El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENS
O) was more intense than the 1982-83 ENSO event, the coastline of central C
alifornia sustained approximately $14 million in damages during the 1982-83
winter, more than double the economic impact experienced during the 1997-9
8 winter. We attribute the difference in coastal response to a combination
of oceanographic and anthropogenic factors. During 1982-83, the large wave
events tended to coincide with more southerly and higher velocity winds, in
creasing set-up along the shoreline and beach erosion due to offshore-direc
ted flow. These large wave events also occurred during very high tides, cau
sing the waves to break closer to shore and to strike the coast with more e
nergy, increasing their impact on coastal structures and property. During t
he 1997-98 winter, however, the largest waves arrived during lower tides an
d coincided with lower wind velocities. The northwesterly winds reduced set
-up along the shoreline and caused net onshore flow, decreasing wave impact
. Another important factor contributing to the disproportionate damage betw
een the winters was the higher percentage of shoreline that had been armore
d by 1997. Most areas significantly damaged in 1982-83 winter were protecte
d by more substantial seawalls or revetments during the 1997-98 ENSO event.
improving the understanding of variations in coastal response to extreme s
torm events is essential to bolstering the resiliency of our coastal commun
ities.