Ep. Myers et Am. Baptista, Analysis of factors influencing simulations of the 1993 Hokkaido Nansei-Oki and 1964 Alaska tsunamis, NAT HAZARDS, 23(1), 2001, pp. 1-28
The purpose of this paper is to examine factors influencing numerical simul
ations of tsunamis, and their implications for hazard mitigation. We focus
on a specific finite element hydrodynamic model, chosen for its role in the
systematic development of inundation maps for regions threatened primarily
by Cascadia Subduction Zone (CSZ) tsunamis. However, in part for generalit
y and in part because of poor historical records for CSZ events, we discuss
here the performance of the model in the context of better documented past
events with epicenters located elsewhere: the July 12, 1993 Hokkaido Nanse
i-Oki and the March 28, 1964 Alaska tsunamis. Our analysis includes the inf
luence of grid refinement, interactions between tides and tsunamis, artific
ial energy loss, and numerical parameterization. We show that while the abi
lity exists to reproduce past events, limitations remain in the modeling pr
ocess that should be accounted for in translating modeling results into inf
ormation for tsunami mitigation and response.