In this analysis we investigate the degree to which the absence of effectiv
e pension systems may generate motivations for international migration as a
means of self-financing retirement.
Using ethnosurvey data gathered in selected Mexican communities and US dest
ination areas, we estimate models to predict the odds of US migration from
indicators of relative wages and whether or not jobs in Mexico were covered
by that country's social security system.
We find that by holding constant the binational differential in expected wa
ges, the odds of out-migration were much higher for male household heads wo
rking in jobs that were not covered by social security compared with those
working in jobs that enjoyed such coverage.
Subsequent analyses showed that the odds of receiving a pension in old age
were systematically higher for former US migrants, and that the likelihood
of pension receipt rose steadily as the number of US trips and amount of US
experience accumulated.