Pricing of forward and futures contracts

Citation
Yf. Chow et al., Pricing of forward and futures contracts, J ECON SURV, 14(2), 2000, pp. 215-253
Citations number
84
Categorie Soggetti
Economics
Journal title
JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC SURVEYS
ISSN journal
09500804 → ACNP
Volume
14
Issue
2
Year of publication
2000
Pages
215 - 253
Database
ISI
SICI code
0950-0804(200004)14:2<215:POFAFC>2.0.ZU;2-H
Abstract
There has long been substantial interest in understanding the relative pric ing of forward and futures contracts. This has led to the development of tw o standard theories of forward and futures pricing, namely, the Cost-of-Car ry and the Risk Premium (or Unbiased Expectations) hypotheses. These studie s have modelled the relationship between spot and forward/futures prices ei ther through a no-arbitrage condition or a general equilibrium setting. Rel atively few studies in this area have considered the impact of stochastic t rends in the data. with the emergence of non-stationarity and cointegration in recent years, more sophisticated models of futures/forward prices have been specified. This paper surveys the significant contributions made to th e literature on the pricing of forward/futures contracts, and examines rece nt empirical studies pertaining to the estimation and testing of univariate and systems models of futures pricing.