We study experimentally the jamming phenomenon of granular flow of monodisp
erse disks of D = 5 mm diameter in a two-dimensional hopper with opening R.
The jamming probability J(d) is measured where d = R/D. We found that J(d)
decreases from 1 to zero when d increases from 2 to 5. From observing the
disk configurations of the arch in the jamming events, the jamming probabil
ity can be explained quantitatively by treating the arch as the trajectory
of a restricted random walker.