Secular trends in child anemia in S. Paulo city, Brazil (1984-1996)

Objective Data from two consecutive households surveys undertaken in mid-80 s and mid-90s allow to characterize and analyse secular trends ill infant a nd child anaemia in the city of S. Paulo, Brazil. Methods The two surveys included random population samples aged from zero t o 59 months (1,016 in the period of 1984-85 and 1,280 in 1995-96). Capillar y blood samples, collected by digital puncture in the two surveys, were ana lysed regarding their haemoglobin concentration. The anaemic status was det ermined when haemoglobin concentration was below II g/dL. For each survey, the study of the social distribution of child anaemia took into account ter tiles of the pet capita family income. For the study of the determinants of secular trends, hierarchical causal models, multivariate regression analys es and calculations analogous to the ones used to assess population attribu table risks were applied. Results/Conclusions In the time span from the first to the second survey th ere was a significant reduction in the average haemoglobin concentration (f rom 11.6 g/dl to 11.0 g/dl), as well as a considerable increase in anaemia prevalence (from 35.6% to 46.9%). Unfavourable trends were observed in both sexes, all age groups and all income strata. Trends were still less favour able among the poorest families, aggravating the social burden related to child anaemia. Changes in distal (family income and maternal schooling) and proximal determinants (breast or bottle-feeding) of child anaemia were pos itive in the study period and therefore they cannot explain the increase in the disease. A low iron diet could explain the high prevalence of anaemia in both surveys but could not explain its further increase.