Objective: To measure the 4-year risk of open-angle glaucoma (OAG) in a bla
ck population.
Design? Population-based cohort study with 4 years of follow-up.
Setting: Simple random sample of residents of Barbados, West Indies, aged 4
0 years or older.
Participants? A total of 3427 members of the cohort (85% of those eligible)
.
Main Outcome Measure: Development of glaucoma visual held defects and optic
disc damage, confirmed by automated perimetry, independent fundus photogra
phic gradings, and standardized ophthalmologic examinations.
Results: The 4-year risk of OAG in black participants was 2.2% (95% confide
nce interval, 1.7%-2.8%), based on 67 newly developed cases of GAG. Inciden
ce rates increased from 1.2%, at ages 40 to 49 years to 4.2%, at ages of 70
years or more, tending to be higher in men than women (2.7% vs 1.9%). Abou
t half of the incident cases were undiagnosed previously, and the rest were
receiving OAG treatment. Of the 67 new cases of GAG, 32 had intraocular pr
essure of 21 mm Hg or less at baseline (1.2% incidence) and 35 had higher p
ressures (9% incidence). Risk was highest among persons classified as havin
g suspect OAG at baseline (26.1%), followed by those with ocular hypertensi
on (4.9%) and lowest in the remaining population (0.8%).
Conclusions: This longitudinal study provides new information on OAG risk,
as well as the first incidence measurement in a black population. Although
intraocular pressure increased risk, about half of the new cases had baseli
ne pressures of 21 mm Hg or less. Results substantiate the high OAG risk in
the population of African origin, especially in older adults; the relative
role of intraocular pressure; and the considerable underdetection of new d
isease after 4 years of follow-up.