Correlations of tropical mean water vapor with its surface values have been
calculated for all AMIP1 models and some of the AMIP2 models. The previous
ly noted discrepancy between the GFDL model and rawinsonde data also exists
for other models: the interannual correlations of water vapor with its sur
face values decline to smaller values in observations than in the models. T
his discrepancy is reduced somewhat after the data from the models were sam
pled at the same locations where observational data were collected, but rem
ains significant even at low levels. Significant discrepancy between models
and observations also exists in the regressions of water vapor on temperat
ure, suggesting something other than differences in the noise level as the
main cause for the discrepancy in the vertical correlations between model a
nd rawinsonde observations.