Oxidation of uracil (U) and thymine (5-Me-U) are believed to play a role in
genetic instability because of the changes these oxidations cause in the i
onization constants (pK(a) values), which in turn affects the base pairing
and hence coding. However, interpretation of the experimental evidence for
the changes of pK(a) with substitution at LT has been complicated by the pr
esence of two sites (N1 and N3) for ionization. We show that a procedure us
ing first principles quantum mechanics (density functional theory with gene
ralized gradient approximation, B3LYP, in combination with the Poisson-Bolt
zmann continuum-solvation model) predicts such pK(a) values for a series of
5-substituted uracil derivatives in excellent correlation with experiment.
In particular, this successfully resolves which cases prefer ionization at
N1 and N3. Such first principles predictions of ionization constant should
be useful for predicting and interpreting pK(a) for other systems.