Statistical inference about mass extinction events is commonly based on the
pattern of fossil finds among a group of tare. An important issue for exis
ting methods is the selection of taxa for inclusion in the analysis. A comm
on approach is to select taxa on the basis of the stratigraphic height of t
heir uppermost finds. This approach creates a bias in favor of detecting a
mass extinction event. This paper describes and illustrates an approach tha
t avoids this problem.