The cadaveric renal transplantation process involves steps related to medic
al suitability, interest in transplantation, pretransplantation workup, and
movement up a waiting list. Failure to complete specific steps may be caus
ed by remaining stationary at that step, moving backward to a previous step
, or dying, Knowing the relative importance of these types of movement may
enable the development of strategies that improve the efficiency and equity
of the transplantation process. We examined 4,597 new dialysis patients to
determine the likelihood of remaining stationary, moving backward, or dyin
g at each of the following steps: (4) being medically suitable and possibly
interested in transplantation, (B) being definitely interested, (C) comple
ting the pretransplantation workup, and (D) moving up a waiting list and re
ceiving a transplant. Failure to complete a step was generally caused by re
maining stationary rather than moving backward or dying. The likelihood of
remaining stationary ranged from 78% at step A to 90% at step D. The likeli
hood of backward movement ranged from 3% to 7%, whereas the likelihood of d
eath ranged from 7% to 22%. Compared with whites, blacks were more likely t
o remain stationary at steps A (odds ratio [OR], 1.96) and B (OR, 1.52), mo
re likely to move backward at step B (OR, 1.79), and less likely to die at
steps A through C (ORs, 0.45 to 0.60). In conclusion, failure to move throu
gh the transplantation process is usually caused by remaining stationary at
specific steps rather than moving backward or dying. The relative importan
ce of these types of movement differs among blacks and whites. (C) 2001 by
the National Kidney Foundation, Inc.