OBJECTIVE: This study was undertaken to determine the predictive value of t
he symptom of stress urinary incontinence and to evaluate the ability of ot
her factors suggested by a published Agency for Health Care Policy and Rese
arch guideline for the discrimination of patients unlikely to require urody
namic testing before surgical management.
STUDY DESIGN: We evaluated 950 consecutive women without advanced (stage II
[ or IV) pelvic organ prolapse who were referred with symptoms of incontine
nce. Incontinence was recorded by means of standard forms and was character
ized as "any stress loss" (76.4%), "primarily stress loss" (58.9%), "stress
loss only" (29.8%), "stress and urge loss" (52.2%), "urge loss only" (13.8
%), "constant and stress loss" (1.9%), or "constant loss" (2.3%). Other var
iables were assessed by means of a standardized history, physical examinati
on (including urethral axis determination and stress test), 1-week urinary
diary, and postvoid residual volume measurement. A urodynamic diagnosis of
pure genuine stress incontinence was used as the criterion standard. Sensit
ivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values were calcul
ated. Logistic regression models incorporating various combinations of stre
ss loss only, previous prolapse or incontinence surgery, nocturia, Voiding
frequency, urethral hypermobility, and postvoid residual volume <100 mt (th
e factors recommended by the Agency for Health Care Policy and Research gui
delines), along with age and race as predictors of genuine stress incontine
nce, were constructed to evaluate the predictive ability of the guideline i
n a subset of 447 patients for whom data on all variables were available.
RESULTS: Of the entire population 480 (50.5%) had pure genuine stress incon
tinence, 134 (14.1%) had both genuine stress incontinence and detrusor inst
ability, 180 (18.9%) had pure detrusor instability, and 40 (4.2%) had intri
nsic sphincter deficiency. Fifty-four (5.7%) had normal study results, and
62 (6.5%) had other nonincontinence diagnoses. Among the subjects with symp
toms of stress loss only, 10.8% did not have genuine stress incontinence co
nfirmed on urodynamic examination. Agency for Health Care Policy and Resear
ch guideline criteria had excellent discrimination (C statistic of 0.807) c
ompared with the sole criterion of stress urinary incontinence only (C stat
istic of 0.574), with a positive predictive value of 85.7%. Only 7.8% of su
bjects met all the criteria, however, and 5.7% of these ultimately had a ur
odynamic diagnosis of either detrusor instability or normal study result.
CONCLUSION: The predictive value of stress symptoms alone was not high enou
gh to serve as the basis for surgical management. Agency for Health Care Po
licy and Research guidelines improved the predictive Value but were applica
ble to only a small subset of patients referred with urinary incontinence.