Inflation expectations and the stability properties of nominal GDP targeting

Authors
Citation
R. Dennis, Inflation expectations and the stability properties of nominal GDP targeting, ECON J, 111(468), 2001, pp. 103-113
Citations number
23
Categorie Soggetti
Economics
Journal title
ECONOMIC JOURNAL
ISSN journal
00130133 → ACNP
Volume
111
Issue
468
Year of publication
2001
Pages
103 - 113
Database
ISI
SICI code
0013-0133(200101)111:468<103:IEATSP>2.0.ZU;2-Z
Abstract
Ball (1999) uses a small closed economy model to show that nominal GDP targ eting can lead to instability. This I,paper extends Ball's model to uncover die role inflation expectations play in generating this instability. Allow ing inflation expectations to be formed by die more general mixed expectati ons process, which encompasses Ball's model, we show that nominal GDP targe ting is unlikely to lead to instability. We further show that in Ball's mod el where exact targeting causes instability that moving to inexact targetin g restores stability.