This article examines the Mischief Reef and Scarborough Shoal disputes in t
he context of the dynamic political interaction between China, the Philippi
nes, ASEAN and the United States. A review of recent development indicates
that these particular incidents and the Spratly disputes in general have in
creased in intensity and complexity drawing in ASEAN and the United States.
China is the main player and several conclusion are drawn regarding its st
rategy and tactics. We see the status quo as unstable and propose a few pos
sible directions of actions in the interest of conflict prevention.