Tl. Huston et al., The connubial crucible: Newlywed years as predictors of marital delight, distress, and divorce, J PERS SOC, 80(2), 2001, pp. 237-252
This study showed that couples' newlywed marriages and changes in their uni
on over the first 2 years foreshadow their long-term marital fate after 13
years. Consistent with the enduring dynamics model, differences in the inte
nsity of newlyweds' romance as well as the extent to which they expressed n
egative feelings toward each other predicted (a) whether or nor they were h
appy 13 years later (among those who stayed married) and (b) how long their
marriage lasted prior to separation (for those who divorced). The results
provide little support for the idea that emergence of distress (e.g., incre
asing negativity) early in marriage leads to marital failure but instead sh
ow that disillusionment-as reflected in an abatement of love, a decline in
overt affection, a lessening of the conviction that one's spouse is respons
ive, and an increase in ambivalence-distinguishes couples headed for divorc
e from those who establish ii stable marital bond.