We examined the natural history of arthroscopic medial meniscectomy in knee
s with an isolated meniscal injury by reviewing 317 of 894 cases following
medial meniscectomy. At the time of the initial surgery none of the knees h
ad been operated on, and there was no evidence of ligament injury. The pati
ents were reviewed clinically and radiologically after a mean of 11.5 years
(range 10-15). The knee was considered "normal" or "nearly normal' by 91%
of patients. In 218 patients the contralateral knee was asymptomatic withou
t history of operation or significant injury and could be used as control f
or comparison. Radiology showed 22.4% greater excess prevalence of joint sp
ace narrowing in the operated compared to the control knee. The factors pre
disposing to a poor radiological result were age above 35 years, the presen
ce of medial compartment cartilage degeneration at the time of the first ar
throscopy, resection of the posterior one-third of the meniscus, and menisc
al rim resection. Preoperative participation in sport was a predictor of a
better outcome.