Objective: To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of an elective cesarean deliv
ery strategy in human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-infected women receiving
zidovudine therapy to prevent perinatal transmission.
Methods: A decision-analysis model was constructed to compare two delivery
strategies in HIV-infected women: usual care and recommendation for electiv
e cesarean delivery. The model followed a hypothetical cohort of 7000 HIV-i
nfected pregnant women in the United States who were receiving zidovudine t
herapy for 1 year. The third-party payer perspective was taken. Cost of del
ivery method with and without complications and lifetime medical care cost
for pediatric HIV infection were considered. The main outcome measure was c
ases of perinatal HIV transmission prevented.
Results: Compared with the usual care strategy, the elective cesarean deliv
ery strategy resulted in an additional 3486 cesarean deliveries each year,
prevented 142 cases (52.4%) of perinatal HIV transmission, and resulted in
incremental overall cost savings to society of $5.3 million per year ($37,2
84 saved per case of perinatal transmission prevented). With other estimate
s held constant, the elective cesarean delivery strategy would not be cost
saving when the baseline perinatal HIV transmission rates were all reduced
by 43.3%.
Conclusions: Elective cesarean delivery in HIV-infected women receiving zid
ovudine is one management strategy for prevention of perinatal HIV transmis
sion and can be cost saving. However, if other strategies, such as use of c
ombination antiretroviral therapy and/or measurement of viral load, result
in at least 50% reduction of the baseline perinatal HIV transmission rates,
elective cesarean delivery will not be cost saving. (Obstet Gynecol 2001;9
7:161-8. (C) 2001 by The American College of Obstetricians and Gynecologist
s.).