Sm. Lynch et Js. Brown, Reconsidering mortality compression and deceleration: An alternative modelof mortality rates, DEMOGRAPHY, 38(1), 2001, pp. 79-95
In this research we develop a model of mortality rates that parameterizes m
ortality deceleration and compression, permits hypothesis tests for change
in these parameters over time, and allows for formal gender comparisons. Ou
r model fits mortality data well across all adult ages 20-105 for 1968-1992
U.S. white data, and the results offer some confirmation of findings of mo
rtality research using conventional methods. We find that the age at which
mortality deceleration begins is increasing over time, that decompression o
f mortality is occurring, and that these trends vary substantially across g
enders, although male and female mortality patterns appear to be converging
to some extent.