Prediction of delayed psychiatric disorders in breast cancer patients by us
ing a screening procedure was investigated. Two questionnaires, the Psychol
ogical Distress Inventory and the Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale, we
re administered before and during chemotherapy, and at the first follow-up
visit. A psychiatric diagnosis was assigned to 50 of the 132 patients (38%)
evaluated at follow-up. Including a set of clinical and demographic variab
les in a logistic regression, increasing age (P = 0.001) and psychiatric hi
story (P < 0.001) were associated with psychiatric morbidity at follow-up.
The accuracy of the two questionnaires in predicting delayed psychiatric di
sorders increased from the evaluation before chemotherapy to the evaluation
during chemotherapy. The most accurate prediction was observed for the con
current evaluation at follow-up. The accuracy of three predictive models de
veloped for each evaluation point by including age, psychiatric history and
psychological distress measured with each of the two questionnaires was no
t significantly better than that observed using only the questionnaires' sc
ores as predictors. (C) 2001 Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved.