A model of the thickness of burden layers in the ironmaking blast furnace i
s presented. Local layer thickness estimates are calculated on the basis of
signals from stockrods that measure the burden (stock) level in the furnac
e. These estimates are used in developing a model for the relation between
the layer thickness and variables such as stock level and movable armor set
tings. Because of the nonlinear dependence of the variables, the models are
based on feedforward or recurrent neural networks. The network size is car
efully selected based an a cross-validation procedure. The resulting neural
model is first studied by analyzing its predictions for different inputs.
By further introducing a simplified scheme for considering the practical co
nstraints of the charging process, an autonomous model, where the neural ne
twork plays an important rots, is formed. This hybrid model is applied to y
ield insight into the dynamics of the layer formation process; the effect o
f movable armor settings, stock level and burden descent rate are analyzed
and compared with practical experience.