Consider the optimum strategy for using channel state ("side") information
in transmission over a module-additive noise channel, with state-dependent
noise, where the receiver does not have access to the side information (SI)
. Recent work showed that capacity-wise, the optimum transmitter shifts eac
h code letter by a "prediction" of the noise sample based on the SI. We sho
w that this structure achieves also the random-coding error exponent, and,
therefore, is optimum at some range of rates below capacity. Specifically,
the optimum transmitter predictor minimizes the Renyi entropy of the predic
tion error; the Renyi order depends on the rate, and goes to one (correspon
ding to Shannon entropy) for rates close to capacity. In contrast, it is sh
own that this "prediction strategy" may not be optimal at low transmission
rates.