The paper presents an original probabilistic model of the balance of intern
al combustion engines. The model considers the manufacturing tolerances and
predicts the most probable value of the first-order residual unbalance for
engines that-theoretically-have the first order forces and moments balance
d. It has been found that, assuming normal distributions of the geometric a
nd mass parameters of the reciprocating mechanisms of a multicylinder engin
e, the unbalancing forces and moments are statistically distributed accordi
ng to a Rayleigh law. The mode of the Rayleigh distribution, which represen
ts the most probable value of the residual unbalance, is expressed in terms
of the statistical characteristics of the parameters subjected to manufact
uring tolerances. In this way, the tolerances and, especially the ones admi
tted for the reciprocating masses, are directly correlated to the expected
value of the residual unbalance making it possible to establish reasonable
limits for these tolerances. Validation of the probabilistic balance model
is demonstrated by computer simulation.