Efficient methods are described here to predict the stochastic accumulation
of fatigue damage due to nonlinear ship loads that are produced in random
seas. The stochastic analysis method, which may br applied both to overload
and fatigue limit states, is based on a relatively new concept: the nonlin
ear transfer function (NTF) method. The basic goal of this method is to req
uire the use of a generally expensive, nonlinear time-domain ship load anal
ysis for only a limited set of idealized regular waves. This establishes th
e so-called nonlinear transfer function i,e., the generally nonlinear trans
formation from wave amplitude and period to the load amplitude measure of i
nterest (e.g., total load range fur rainflow-counting, tensile portion for
crack propagation, etc.). Stochastic process theory is used 1) to identify
a minimal set of regular waves (i.e., heights and periods) to be applied. 2
) to assign an appropriate set of 'side-waves'' to be spatially distributed
along the ship. and 3) to determine how these results should be weighted i
n predicting statistics of the loads produced in random seas. The result is
compared here with film nonlinear analysis of a specific ship, over long s
imulations of an irregular sea. A ship with relatively flared cross section
is chosen, which shows marked nonlinearity, and hence asymmetry in its pos
itive anti negative (sag and hog) midship bending moment. The NTF method is
shown to accurately predict the results of the long nonlinear simulations.
This suggests the potential for considerable reduction in analysis costs:
rime-domain analysis over many cycles of an irregular sea is replaced by a
limited number of regular wave analyses.