We consider a manufacturing system that is controlled by a fixed-cycle smoo
thed production policy. This policy, which is becoming increasingly common
in repetitive manufacturing environments, is characterized by a production
rate that is updated on a periodic basis. We model the system as a stochast
ic process that includes parameters for vendor responsiveness, plant respon
siveness, randomness in production yield rates, nonstationarity and randomn
ess in market demand, demand forecast error, operating cost rates, and safe
ty stock. Properties of the model expose structural relationships between e
xpected system performance and system parameters.