Background. How many physicians are needed in the United States and how the
y should be allocated geographically and among specialties has been the sub
ject of intense debate, a debate that has often focused more on costs to th
ird-party payers and government than on benefits to health. Child health is
a central aspect of public health, and immunization is one of its most cos
t-effective and easily measured interventions.
Objective. To examine the association of immunization rates and delivery ch
aracteristics with the distribution of child health physicians in the Unite
d States in 1997.
Design. Cross-sectional ecological study, using the state as the unit of an
alysis, immunization rates and delivery characteristics (from the National
Immunization Survey) as the main outcome measures, concentration of the pri
ncipal physician specialties providing routine care to children (pediatric,
family, and general physicians from the American Medical Association Maste
rfile) as the main risk factor, while controlling for demographic and econo
mic factors (from the Bureau of the Census and other sources).
Results. Of the 96 689 physicians providing routine care to children, 37% w
ere pediatric, 49% family, and 14% general physicians. Higher rates of vacc
ination, private sector vaccination, and increased numbers of public and pr
ivate vaccination sites were all associated with the concentration of pedia
tricians but not of family or general physicians. The distribution of pedia
tricians was strongly associated with the distribution of residency positio
ns.
Conclusions. Pediatrician distribution is a strong correlate to immunizatio
n rates and delivery characteristics. Opportunities to affect pediatrician
distribution may exist with allocation of residency positions.