Sb. Cho et al., Integrating transportation network and regional economic models to estimate the costs of a large urban earthquake, J REG SCI, 41(1), 2001, pp. 39-65
In this paper we summarize an integrated, operational model of losses due t
o earthquake impacts on transportation and industrial capacity, and how the
se losses affect the metropolitan economy. The procedure advances the infor
mation provided by transportation and activity system analysis techniques i
n ways that help capture the most important ecomonic implications of earthq
uakes. Network costs and origin-destination requirements are modeled endoge
nously and consistently. Indirect and induced losses associated with direct
impacts on transportation and industrial capacity are distributed across z
ones and ecomonic sectors. Preliminary results are summarized for a magnitu
de 7.1 earthquake on the Elysian Park blind thrust fault in Los Angeles.