Agricultural intensification was linked to streamwater pollution in a case
study watershed using GIS and nutrient budgeting techniques. The results sh
owed that surplus nitrogen applications from fertilizers and manure average
d 120 kg ha(-1) yr(-1). In some parts of the watershed surplus applications
exceeded 300 kg ha(-1) yr(-1). A consistent increase in pig and chicken nu
mbers (59 and 165% increase between 1986 and 1996) is considered the main r
eason for the surplus. Water quality was impacted in two ways: nitrate cont
aminated groundwater contributed to high nitrates in a major tributary duri
ng the summer, while in the wet winter season ammonia, phosphate and colifo
rm levels were high throughout the drainage system. Significant negative re
lationships were found between surplus nitrogen applications and dissolved
oxygen while ammonia and nitrate concentrations during the wet season were
positively correlated to surplus applications. Soil texture and drainage ty
pe were also significantly correlated with the water quality indicators sug
gesting that it is possible to use the budget/GIS linked techniques for pol
lution risk assessment from agricultural non-point sources.