Background: Antecedents to human immunodeficiency virus-dementia (HIV-D) ar
e poorly understood. Objective: To identify risk factors for HIV-D. Methods
: Subjects who are positive for HIV who have CD4(+) counts either below 200
/muL or below 300/muL with evidence of cognitive impairment were enrolled i
n this study. Neurologic, cognitive, functional, and laboratory assessments
were done semiannually for up to 30 months, Human immunodeficiency virus-d
ementia was diagnosed using American Academy of Neurology criteria for prob
able HIV-l-associatcd dementia complex. Results: One hundred forty-six nond
emented patients were enrolled, 45 of whom subsequently met criteria for in
cident HIV-D. In univariate analyses using the Cox proportional hazards reg
ression model, the following variables were significantly associated with t
ime to develop dementia: cognitive: abnormal scores on Timed Gait, Verbal F
luency, Grooved Pegboard, and Digit Symbol tests; attention-memory, psychom
otor, and executive function domain scores; and the diagnosis of minor cogn
itive/motor disorder; neurologic and medical: increased abnormalities on th
e neurologic examination, extrapyramidal signs, history of HIV-related medi
cal symptoms; functional: higher reported role or physical function difficu
lties. Depression was also a strong risk factor, along with sex, hematocrit
, hemoglobin, and beta (2)-microglobulin levels. In a multivariate model th
at used cognitive domain scores, covariates with significant hazard ratios
included depression, executive dysfunction, and the presence of minor cogni
tive/motor disorder. Conclusion: Cognitive deficits, minor cognitive/motor
disorder, and depression may be early manifestations of HIV-D.