N. Pederson et al., Hydrometeorological reconstructions for northeastern Mongolia derived fromtree rings: 1651-1995, J CLIMATE, 14(5), 2001, pp. 872-881
Reconstructions of annual (prior August- current July) precipitation and st
reamflow, 345 yr in length (1651-1995), are presented for northeastern Mong
olia based on tree- ring width data. These precipitation and streamflow rec
onstructions account for 54% and 48% of the respective variance in instrume
ntal data over the past 50 years. Variations in instrumental precipitation
and streamflow are within the range of those reconstructed over the length
of tree- ring records. However, there appear to be more frequent extended w
et periods during the twentieth century. Multitaper spectral analysis revea
led statistically significant peaks at 10.8 and 12.8 yr for the precipitati
on reconstruction, and at 12.8 and 20.3- 23.8 yr for the streamflow reconst
ruction. Similarly, singular spectrum analysis identified spectral modes of
variation at 12 and 21 yr for both series. These spectra resemble those fo
und for tree- ring- based precipitation reconstructions in central China as
well as the western United States, and may reflect solar influences on the
climate of Mongolia.